The Concord Monitor is reporting that Obama is edging Hillary in that key primary state. In the too-close-to-call New Hampshire Democrat Primary, Obama has inched himself into a neck and neck race despite polling 11 points below Hillary nationally.
From the Concord Monitor:
Barack Obama has come from behind to turn the Democratic presidential race in New Hampshire into a toss-up, according to a new Monitor opinion poll. The results - which show Obama with a one-point edge over Hillary Clinton - mirror other polls released this week, indicating that Clinton’s once-imposing lead has evaporated in the run-up to New Hampshire’s Jan. 8 primary.
The poll suggests that the Democratic race could hinge on the turnout of undeclared voters, who aren’t registered with either political party. Much of Obama’s backing comes from undeclared voters, while registered Democrats make up the bulk of Clinton’s support. In New Hampshire, undeclared voters can vote in either party primary, giving them sway in both contests.
This story should remind us that there is an inherent danger in thinking that the poll leaders are the destined candidates for the general election. Just 4 years ago following Iowa, it was thought that Howard Dean was going to be the Democrat nominee. Going into the 2000 primary season it was thought that John McCain would have been selected.
The lesson that we should all remain mindful of is that any candidate can pull it together and win on Super Tuesday. For that matter, Super Tuesday may even complicate things. It may be decided by the late primary states like Ohio who doesn’t vote until March.
I would not count out the Edwards campaign. He could be like my man Fred who is sitting back and waiting for a huge win in South Carolina to propel his name ahead of the pack.
Personally, I’d like to see them nominate John Edwards. Like some Dems think of the Huck (and I tend to agree), I think Edwards is ripe for the picking in the general.
UPDATE:
MSNBC is reporting that Clinton may lose all 4 early primary states…
Sen. Hillary Clinton’s campaign is teetering on the brink, no matter what the meaningless national horserace numbers say. The notion that she has a post-Iowa “firewall” in New Hampshire is a fantasy, and she is in danger of losing all four early contests, including Nevada and South Carolina – probably to Sen. Barack Obama, who is now, in momentum terms, the Democratic frontrunner.
The article is also overly favorable to Mike Huckabee but I think we can overlook that fact on the basis of liberal bias. I’ve discussed ad nauseum the fact that the ultra liberal wing of the Democrat Party wants to face Huck in the General.
UPDATE II:
Wyoming State Democratic Party Chairman isn’t too fond of Hillary SOURCE:
Sphere: Related ContentThe Democratic Party chairman in Wyoming is predicting that Democratic candidates throughout the Rocky Mountain region will be damaged if his party selects Hillary Clinton for president.
“Every Democratic candidate in Wyoming will be painted with that same liberal, big-government brush. We will also be the target of the locker room jokes that rightfully belong to Bill Clinton,” John Millin wrote in a letter to The Denver Post.
“While I don’t agree with this view of Mrs. Clinton, I have to accept that this is the truth. It has become the dirty little secret in the Democratic Party,” he wrote. “Westerners have an independent, libertarian spirit and Democrats can make Republicans pay a heavy price for years of pandering to the social conservatives. None of this will happen if Hillary wins the nomination.”
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