tribe-jaw
tribe-jaw
tribe-jaw
tribe-jaw

Home » Election 2008 » MSM Ignorance » News » Opinion » Currently Reading:

New Hampshire – A Lesson About Polling & Declaring Inevitability

You all know that I’m no fan of the main stream media, that goes without saying. In their zeal to be first to get the story sometimes they actually miss the story. The struggle to be first to know who will win certain political races sometimes backfires. Remember the 2000 elections? ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN, and Fox all declared George W. Bush the winner in Florida before 50% of the precincts reported. That sparked the on again off again conciliatory speech from Al Gore. If the news agencies had kept their stories until there was a clear winner, the whole Florida fiasco might have been avoided.

This election cycle we heard an awful lot about Hillary Clinton’s inevitable nomination. Then her world fell apart just days before the Iowa Caucuses. Barack Obama came on like gangbusters and won the Democratic Caucuses. Then with little fanfare Obama took Wyoming.


Cartoon Courtesy of Glenn McCoy

All of a sudden Hillary was seen as “in trouble” by the main stream media and their faulty polling models. I say faulty polling models because none of the main stream media outlets predicted the massive turnout in New Hampshire. None of them.


Cartoon Courtesy of Eric Allie

Since New Hampshire has a large block of Independent voters and they are notorious for not making up their minds until entering the polling station, the main stream media correspondents were scrambling during the 5 days between Iowa and New Hampshire in an attempt to be the first to report. Problem, since their polling models were flawed they couldn’t in a million years predict the result.

After losing the precincts in the early voting to Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton saw nothing but rising numbers in New Hampshire all day and all evening. She eventually took the Granite State by 3 percentage points.

On the Republican side, the inevitable candidate a year ago when the candidates of both parties began to announce was John McCain.


Cartoon Courtesy of Gary Varvel

Then it was Rudy, then Mitt, and finally the Huckster who ended up taking Iowa. Again with little fanfare Mitt Romney sneaked in and snatched the Wyoming Caucuses from Huckster’s hands. Then John McCain, who won New Hampshire 8 years ago defeating George W. Bush, exploded in the Granite State.

Lesson, don’t believe anyone who says they know today who the nominee will be when there are 47 states yet to be heard. Both parties are up for grabs now and that is the first real truth to come out in this election.

blog comments powered by Disqus

Search This Site:

National Debt

Learn more about us debt.

Ohio Under Uncle Ted

Anti-Obama Art




Image Courtesy of Young Gun Conservative




Categories

STACLU BlogBurst

Comment on this Article:

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Related Articles:

Charities



The Spina Bifida Association of Cincinnati



Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center


Archive Calendar

January 2008
M T W T F S S
« Dec   Feb »
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031  

Misc. Graphics






Img Courtesy of Big Dog



Content Protected Using Blog Protector By: PcDrome.