Rasmussen: Missouri Leans Republican

Rasmussen Reports “Election 2008: Electoral College Update” is reporting that the “Show Me” is showing America which way to lean as Rasmussen’s polling numbers show that Missouri is now leaning Republican.

From Rasmussen Reports:

New polling data released on Wednesday shows John McCain opening a lead over both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton in Missouri. As a result, Missouri has shifted from Toss-Up status to Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator. Democrats are now leading in states with 200 Electoral College Votes. Republicans are favored in states with 189 Votes (see recent daily results).

When “leaners” are added to the total, the Democrats lead with 247 Electoral Votes to 240 for the GOP. A total of 270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the White House. Leaners are states that narrowly lean to one party or the other at this time but remain competitive. See a summary of recent polls and Rasmussen Market expectations for key states in the Electoral College showdown.

Twelve states with 149 Electoral Votes are either a pure Toss-Up or just slightly leaning to one party or the other. These are likely to be the early battleground states of Election 2008: Florida (27), Pennsylvania (21), Ohio (20), Michigan, (17), Virginia (13), Missouri (11), Minnesota (10), Colorado (9), Iowa (7), Nevada(5), New Mexico (5), and New Hampshire (4).

Everything is pointing toward a Republican victory. Gallup is reporting that 28% of Clinton supporters will vote McCain is Obama is the Nominee and that 19% of Obama supporters will vote for McCain if Clinton is the Nominee. The Democrat Nominee can ill-afford these kinds of defections.

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator currently projects 157 Electoral Votes as “Safely Democratic,” 43 Electoral Votes as “Likely Democratic” and 47 Electoral Votes as “Leans Democratic.”

On the other side of the aisle, 168 Electoral Votes are projected as “Safely Republican,” 21 are projected as “Likely Republican” and 51 are projected as “Leans Republican”.

Safely Democratic: California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), District of Columbia (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), and Vermont (3).

Likely Democratic: New Jersey (15), Oregon (7), Washington (11) and Wisconsin (10).

Leans Democratic: Iowa (7), Minnesota (10), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), and Pennsylvania (21).

Toss-Up: Colorado (9), Michigan (17), Nevada (5), and Ohio (20).

Leans Republican: Florida (27), Missouri (11), Virginia (13).

Likely Republican: Arkansas (6) and North Carolina (15).

Safely Republican: Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arizona (10), Georgia (15), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (9), Mississippi (6), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (8), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (34), Utah (5), West Virginia (5) and Wyoming (3).

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll provides an ongoing update of the popular vote projections

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